The concept of the platonic fold, described in "The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable", emphasizes that humans are really bad at trying to extrapolate future events from previous events. We assume that events form a more or less stable, linear progression, with easily defined cause and effect [p. 118].
(...) remember that every decision is a trade-off. There ain't no free lunches. [p. 243]
How are you going to accomplish that goal? Try small specific objectives as part of an action plan. I like to take my goals and develop small - sometimes tiny - objectives to create an action plan so I can accomplish that goal. (...) weekly objectives (...) sometimes as small as 5 minutes tasks. [p. 153]
Plan - Pragmatic Investment Plan - Have a concrete plan, diversify, make an active - not passive - investment, make a regular investment.
Time cannot be created or destroyed - it can only be allocated.
(...) it's not important to get it right the first time; it's important to get it right the last time. In any non-trivial endeavour, you will make mistakes. [p. 190]